Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

📅04/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.45
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.99
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
9%
7.0
X/2
14%
4.24
X/X
16%
3.64
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.98
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mallorca EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 49%
+15% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
1.09/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.09
+20% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
14.6 Crosses 14.3
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mallorca
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.96 xG 1.76
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 495
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-0 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
26.04.2023 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-1 HT 1-1 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
09.11.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
09.04.2022 Mallorca Mallorca 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
04.12.2021 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 1-2 HT 0-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
03.07.2020 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-0 HT 2-0 Mallorca Mallorca İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mallorca
0-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid
0.24 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
451 Passes 289
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid squeezed past Mallorca 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Mallorca had 59% of the ball to Atletico Madrid's 41%, shots finished 7-9, expected goals 0.24 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mallorca and 1.33 for Atletico Madrid.

What was the final score of Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid?

Mallorca 0-1 Atletico Madrid in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mallorca vs Atletico Madrid?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mallorca 29%, draw 29%, Atletico Madrid 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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