Real Sociedad 2-0 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

Real Sociedad
2-0 HT 2-0
Las Palmas
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.61
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
23.15
X/1
18%
3.25
X/2
7%
18.05
X/X
9%
6.03
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
8%
16.35
2/X
6%
24.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
70%
-11.2pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
20%
Away Win
10%
+9.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+5.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-5.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.8pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -1%
1.77/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.02
-20% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
407 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
18.9 Crosses 12.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Las Palmas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.05 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
398 Passes 369
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
14.04.2018 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
26.11.2017 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 2-2 HT 1-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
24.02.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad İS1
21.09.2016 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 4-1 HT 3-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
19.03.2016 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0-1 HT 0-1 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1

Real Sociedad 2-0 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad
2-0
AWAY Las Palmas
0.58 xG 0.52
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
411 Passes 370
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Sociedad beat Las Palmas 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Real Sociedad as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad had 52% of the ball to Las Palmas's 48%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 0.58 to 0.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Sociedad and 0.67 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas?

Real Sociedad 2-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad 59%, draw 22%, Las Palmas 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Sociedad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Sociedad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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