Real Madrid 3-0 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 4 May 2024

Real Madrid
3-0 HT 0-0
Cadiz
📅04/05/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Real Madrid vs Cadiz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.29
6+ Goals
12%
11.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.6
X/1
17%
3.39
X/2
6%
15.6
X/X
11%
6.37
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.6
2/2
5%
13.1
2/X
7%
21.45
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
68%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid v Cadiz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 15%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
2.16/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.82
+21% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +11%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
465 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
37.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.5
18.8 Crosses 17.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Real Madrid vs Cadiz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Cadiz
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.34 xG 1.12
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
610 Passes 252
90% Pass Accuracy 76%
40 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 0-3 HT 0-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
15.04.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 0-2 HT 0-0 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
10.11.2022 Real Madrid Real Madrid 2-1 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
15.05.2022 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1
19.12.2021 Real Madrid Real Madrid 0-0 HT 0-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
21.04.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 0-3 HT 0-3 Real Madrid Real Madrid İS1

Real Madrid 3-0 Cadiz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid
3-0
AWAY Cadiz
2.33 xG 0.96
71% Ball Possession 29%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
734 Passes 248
93% Pass Accuracy 79%
45 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Madrid vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Cadiz 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Madrid as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Real Madrid had 71% of the ball to Cadiz's 29%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.33 to 0.96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Real Madrid and 0.33 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Real Madrid vs Cadiz?

Real Madrid 3-0 Cadiz in the Spain - Primera Liga on 04/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid 60%, draw 24%, Cadiz 16%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Madrid), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Madrid) ✓ Over 2.5
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