Almeria II vs Don Benito Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almeria II v Don Benito — Team-Based Signals
Almeria II 2-1 Don Benito — Actual Match Statistics
Almeria II edged past Don Benito 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Almeria II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Almeria II had 59% of the ball to Don Benito's 41%, shots finished 7-15.
What was the final score of Almeria II vs Don Benito?
Almeria II 2-1 Don Benito in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almeria II vs Don Benito?
Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Almeria II 45%, draw 28%, Don Benito 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.