Barbastro vs Alfaro Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Barbastro v Alfaro — Team-Based Signals
Barbastro 0-1 Alfaro — Actual Match Statistics
Alfaro edged past Barbastro 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Barbastro at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Barbastro had 49% of the ball to Alfaro's 51%, shots finished 12-5.
What was the final score of Barbastro vs Alfaro?
Barbastro 0-1 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Alfaro?
Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 45%, draw 31%, Alfaro 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Barbastro) went the other way.