Cornella 2-3 Europa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.85
No
53%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
50%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cornella EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Europa EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.75/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.49
+56% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cornella
2-3
AWAY Europa
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cornella vs Europa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Europa squeezed past Cornella 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Europa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cornella had 52% of the ball to Europa's 48%, shots finished 16-13.

What was the final score of Cornella vs Europa?

Cornella 2-3 Europa in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cornella vs Europa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cornella win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cornella 36%, draw 28%, Europa 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/28/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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