Navalcarnero vs Colonia Moscardo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Navalcarnero v Colonia Moscardo — Team-Based Signals
Navalcarnero 3-3 Colonia Moscardo — Actual Match Statistics
Navalcarnero and Colonia Moscardo couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Navalcarnero at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Navalcarnero had 54% of the ball to Colonia Moscardo's 46%, shots finished 13-13.
What was the final score of Navalcarnero vs Colonia Moscardo?
Navalcarnero 3-3 Colonia Moscardo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Navalcarnero vs Colonia Moscardo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Navalcarnero 41%, draw 28%, Colonia Moscardo 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.