Numancia vs Escobedo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Numancia v Escobedo — Team-Based Signals
Numancia 1-1 Escobedo — Actual Match Statistics
Numancia and Escobedo shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
This one beat our numbers. Numancia carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Numancia had 61% of the ball to Escobedo's 39%, shots finished 26-4.
What was the final score of Numancia vs Escobedo?
Numancia 1-1 Escobedo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Numancia vs Escobedo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Numancia win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Numancia 57%, draw 24%, Escobedo 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Numancia), BTTS No went the other way.