UE Olot 3-3 UD Alzira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
32%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.51
Over 2.5
43%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
32%
Away Win
23%
+9.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.5pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UE Olot EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Alzira EU Bookmakers 26%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +20%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.51
-28% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -21%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 65%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UE Olot
1W-0D-1L
AWAY UD Alzira
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
22 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 10
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2023 UE Olot UE Olot 3-1 HT 0-0 UD Alzira UD Alzira İS4
26.11.2022 UD Alzira UD Alzira 2-1 HT 1-0 UE Olot UE Olot İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UE Olot
3-3
AWAY UD Alzira
67% Ball Possession 33%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
POST-MATCH UE Olot vs UD Alzira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Olot and UD Alzira couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was UE Olot at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, UE Olot had 67% of the ball to UD Alzira's 33%, shots finished 18-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for UE Olot and 1.50 for UD Alzira.

What was the final score of UE Olot vs UD Alzira?

UE Olot 3-3 UD Alzira in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UE Olot vs UD Alzira?

Before kick-off our model rated a UE Olot win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UE Olot 43%, draw 25%, UD Alzira 32%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UE Olot) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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