Union Sur Yaiza 2-3 Cacereno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.8pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Sur Yaiza EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cacereno EU Bookmakers 37%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
2.00/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.89
+79% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
POST-MATCH Union Sur Yaiza vs Cacereno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno squeezed past Union Sur Yaiza 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Union Sur Yaiza at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Union Sur Yaiza vs Cacereno?

Union Sur Yaiza 2-3 Cacereno in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Sur Yaiza vs Cacereno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Sur Yaiza win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Union Sur Yaiza 42%, draw 28%, Cacereno 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Sur Yaiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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