Xerez vs CD Aguilas Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Xerez v CD Aguilas — Team-Based Signals
Xerez 1-0 CD Aguilas — Actual Match Statistics
Xerez squeezed past CD Aguilas 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Xerez as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Xerez had 46% of the ball to CD Aguilas's 54%, shots finished 9-9.
What was the final score of Xerez vs CD Aguilas?
Xerez 1-0 CD Aguilas in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Xerez vs CD Aguilas?
Before kick-off our model rated a Xerez win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Xerez 42%, draw 32%, CD Aguilas 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Xerez), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.