Cittadella 0-2 Cesena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Nov 2024

Cittadella
0-2 HT 0-0
Cesena
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cittadella vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.62
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.49
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 36% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.49
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
16%
6.03
X/2
13%
5.12
X/X
15%
3.81
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.55
2/X
7%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.8pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-3.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cittadella v Cesena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cittadella EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Cesena EU Bookmakers 40%
-10% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
1.10/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.34
-15% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
23.8 Crosses 11.1
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7

Cittadella vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cittadella
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cesena
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
The Meetings
17.02.2018 Cesena Cesena 0-1 HT 0-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
19.09.2017 Cittadella Cittadella 4-0 HT 3-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
29.04.2017 Cittadella Cittadella 2-3 HT 1-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
10.12.2016 Cesena Cesena 3-0 HT 0-0 Cittadella Cittadella İTB
17.04.2014 Cittadella Cittadella 1-0 HT 0-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
17.11.2013 Cesena Cesena 2-2 HT 1-1 Cittadella Cittadella İTB

Cittadella 0-2 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cittadella
0-2
AWAY Cesena
0.38 xG 2.37
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
331 Passes 412
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 20
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cittadella vs Cesena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena beat Cittadella 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Cesena found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cittadella had 46% of the ball to Cesena's 54%, shots finished 8-18, expected goals 0.38 to 2.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cittadella had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cittadella and 1.33 for Cesena.

What was the final score of Cittadella vs Cesena?

Cittadella 0-2 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cittadella vs Cesena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cittadella win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cittadella 35%, draw 32%, Cesena 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cittadella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cittadella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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