Reggiana 2-2 Catanzaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.9
No
60%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.62
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.49
6+ Goals
7%
23.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.62 — our 37% vs market 32.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.97
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
15%
4.58
X/2
7%
7.14
X/X
20%
3.83
2/1
10%
29.5
2/2
13%
5.62
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
33%
Draw
30%
+3.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+7.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-7.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.7pp
60%
BTTS No
51%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 29%
-25% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +13%
0.92/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
-79% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
23.1 Crosses 12.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Catanzaro
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.87 xG 0.86
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
278 Passes 538
77% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Catanzaro Catanzaro 0-1 HT 0-1 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
26.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.05.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
2-2
AWAY Catanzaro
1.14 xG 1.42
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 4
188 Passes 548
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
18 Box Touches 38
8 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Catanzaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana and Catanzaro couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 33% / 28% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Reggiana had 30% of the ball to Catanzaro's 70%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 1.14 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Reggiana had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Reggiana and 0.67 for Catanzaro.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Catanzaro?

Reggiana 2-2 Catanzaro in the Italy - Serie B on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Catanzaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 39%, draw 33%, Catanzaro 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reggiana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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