Salernitana 0-2 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
36%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.85
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.11
6+ Goals
9%
19.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 32% vs market 29.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.7
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.34
X/2
14%
5.71
X/X
16%
4.07
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
15%
4.07
2/X
7%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salernitana EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +12%
1.20/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.08
+30% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
20.9 Crosses 15.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salernitana
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
07.04.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
04.11.2017 Salernitana Salernitana 2-2 HT 2-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
25.04.2017 Salernitana Salernitana 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
03.12.2016 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-0 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
26.03.2016 Salernitana Salernitana 3-4 HT 1-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
06.11.2015 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-0 Salernitana Salernitana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salernitana
0-2
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.50 xG 1.84
64% Ball Possession 36%
25 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
495 Passes 244
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 14
31 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Salernitana vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Bari 1908 saw off Salernitana 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day FC Bari 1908 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Salernitana had 64% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 36%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 1.50 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Salernitana and 1.83 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Salernitana vs FC Bari 1908?

Salernitana 0-2 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salernitana vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salernitana win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 37%, draw 27%, FC Bari 1908 36%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Salernitana) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salernitana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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