Catanzaro 0-1 Reggiana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.37
6+ Goals
8%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.77
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
18%
4.32
X/2
9%
7.43
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
8%
5.95
2/X
5%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
46%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Catanzaro EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Reggiana EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.35/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.20
+16% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +8%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
18.8 Crosses 16.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Catanzaro
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Reggiana
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.48 xG 1.43
55% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 2
515 Passes 303
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.12.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 1-0 HT 1-0 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTB
13.05.2023 Reggiana Reggiana 2-2 HT 1-2 Catanzaro Catanzaro İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Catanzaro
0-1
AWAY Reggiana
1.24 xG 0.31
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
562 Passes 253
88% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 6
41 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Catanzaro vs Reggiana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana squeezed past Catanzaro 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Catanzaro at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Catanzaro had 66% of the ball to Reggiana's 34%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.24 to 0.31 — on chances, Catanzaro could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Reggiana led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Catanzaro and 1.50 for Reggiana.

What was the final score of Catanzaro vs Reggiana?

Catanzaro 0-1 Reggiana in the Italy - Serie B on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Catanzaro vs Reggiana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Catanzaro win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Catanzaro 49%, draw 26%, Reggiana 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Catanzaro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Catanzaro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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