Modena vs FeralpiSalo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Modena v FeralpiSalo — Team-Based Signals
Modena vs FeralpiSalo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Modena
İTB
0-1
HT 0-0
Modena
İTC
0-0
HT 0-0
FeralpiSalo
İTC
2-1
HT 2-1
Modena
İTC
1-1
HT 1-1
FeralpiSalo
İTC
Modena 2-3 FeralpiSalo — Actual Match Statistics
FeralpiSalo squeezed past Modena 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Modena at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Modena had 55% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 45%, shots finished 21-14, expected goals 2.52 to 2.11 — on chances, Modena could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Modena and 0.80 for FeralpiSalo.
What was the final score of Modena vs FeralpiSalo?
Modena 2-3 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie B on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Modena vs FeralpiSalo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Modena win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Modena 46%, draw 28%, FeralpiSalo 27%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.