Cremonese 2-1 Como — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 Mar 2024

Cremonese
2-1 HT 1-0
Como
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Cremonese vs Como Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 35% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.97
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.15
X/1
15%
4.59
X/2
12%
6.95
X/X
13%
4.06
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
14%
5.36
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-9.0pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.2pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cremonese v Como — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Como EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.48/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.42
-3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -5%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 74%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
21.4 Crosses 18.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8

Cremonese vs Como Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Como
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.07 xG 1.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
305 Passes 347
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Como Como 1-3 HT 0-2 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
06.05.2022 Como Como 1-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
15.01.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 2-0 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
10.12.2014 Como Como 1-3 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTC
07.02.2014 Como Como 3-3 HT 2-2 Cremonese Cremonese İTC

Cremonese 2-1 Como — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
2-1
AWAY Como
1.45 xG 0.17
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
470 Passes 149
88% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Como
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese edged past Como 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 31% / 33% — and on the day Cremonese made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cremonese had 70% of the ball to Como's 30%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.45 to 0.17 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cremonese's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Cremonese and 1.20 for Como.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Como?

Cremonese 2-1 Como in the Italy - Serie B on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Como?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 36%, draw 31%, Como 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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