Pisa 1-0 Ternana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 9 Mar 2024

Pisa
1-0 HT 0-0
Ternana
📅09/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.82
No
51%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.06
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.82
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.58
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.7
X/1
11%
4.27
X/2
7%
7.88
X/X
13%
4.48
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
6.11
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pisa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Ternana EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.39/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.64
-9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
23.1 Crosses 22.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pisa
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ternana
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.25 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
275 Passes 269
71% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2023 Ternana Ternana 1-1 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
16.04.2023 Ternana Ternana 2-1 HT 0-1 Pisa Pisa İTB
26.11.2022 Pisa Pisa 3-1 HT 3-1 Ternana Ternana İTB
12.02.2022 Pisa Pisa 0-0 HT 0-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
11.09.2021 Ternana Ternana 1-4 HT 1-2 Pisa Pisa İTB
21.01.2017 Pisa Pisa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ternana Ternana İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pisa
1-0
AWAY Ternana
1.11 xG 1.38
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
446 Passes 200
83% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pisa vs Ternana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pisa edged past Ternana 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pisa as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pisa had 64% of the ball to Ternana's 36%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.11 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pisa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pisa and 0.83 for Ternana.

What was the final score of Pisa vs Ternana?

Pisa 1-0 Ternana in the Italy - Serie B on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pisa vs Ternana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pisa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pisa 41%, draw 29%, Ternana 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pisa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pisa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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