Foggia Calcio 1-0 Juventus II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.28
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.6
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.28 — our 27% vs market 24.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
54%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foggia Calcio EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus II EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +19%
1.83/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.27
+18% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foggia Calcio
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Juventus II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.02.2023 Juventus II Juventus II 2-1 HT 1-1 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio İTCK
18.01.2023 Foggia Calcio Foggia Calcio 2-1 HT 1-1 Juventus II Juventus II İTCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foggia Calcio
1-0
AWAY Juventus II
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Foggia Calcio vs Juventus II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foggia Calcio edged past Juventus II 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Foggia Calcio as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Foggia Calcio had 48% of the ball to Juventus II's 52%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Foggia Calcio and 1.50 for Juventus II.

What was the final score of Foggia Calcio vs Juventus II?

Foggia Calcio 1-0 Juventus II in the Italy - Serie C on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foggia Calcio vs Juventus II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Foggia Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Foggia Calcio 43%, draw 28%, Juventus II 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Foggia Calcio), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Foggia Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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