Lumezzane 1-0 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.28
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
5.36
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.4pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.36/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.26
+17% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
267 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
3W-0D-1L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.12.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 3-1 HT 1-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
20.12.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-0 HT 1-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
14.12.2014 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
15.12.2013 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 2-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-0
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane squeezed past AlbinoLeffe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 31%) promised a tight game; Lumezzane found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lumezzane had 54% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 46%, shots finished 9-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lumezzane had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lumezzane and 0.75 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe?

Lumezzane 1-0 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 38%, draw 31%, AlbinoLeffe 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lumezzane), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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