Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Flamengo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 10 Nov 2024

Atletico Mineiro
0-1 HT 0-0
Flamengo
📅10/11/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
39%
2.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.72
6+ Goals
8%
26.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.51 — our 39% vs market 33.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.19
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.95
X/1
19%
4.58
X/2
12%
6.38
X/X
14%
3.91
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
8%
5.08
2/X
6%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.6pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Mineiro v Flamengo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Mineiro EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Flamengo EU Bookmakers 32%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.30/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.94
-34% / +103% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
324 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 80%
13.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
13.1 Crosses 13.3
3.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Mineiro
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Flamengo
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.00 xG 1.52
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
394 Passes 387
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Flamengo Flamengo 3-1 HT 2-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK
04.07.2024 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 2-4 HT 0-2 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
30.11.2023 Flamengo Flamengo 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
30.07.2023 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro 1-2 HT 1-0 Flamengo Flamengo BR1
16.10.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BR1
14.07.2022 Flamengo Flamengo 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Mineiro Atletico Mineiro BRK

Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Flamengo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Mineiro
0-1
AWAY Flamengo
0.83 xG 2.55
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
11 Corners 5
396 Passes 146
84% Pass Accuracy 66%
26 Box Touches 32
31 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo edged past Atletico Mineiro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Mineiro at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Mineiro had 68% of the ball to Flamengo's 32%, shots finished 19-18, expected goals 0.83 to 2.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Flamengo's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Flamengo led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atletico Mineiro and 2.00 for Flamengo.

What was the final score of Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo?

Atletico Mineiro 0-1 Flamengo in the Brazil - Cup on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Mineiro vs Flamengo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atletico Mineiro 45%, draw 29%, Flamengo 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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