Orense 0-2 Tecnico Universitario — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.9pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orense EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 31%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +1%
1.28/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.17
-24% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 72%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.6 Crosses 15.9
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orense
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 0.62
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
322 Passes 201
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.05.2024 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
07.10.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-1 HT 2-0 Orense Orense EKV1
06.05.2023 Orense Orense 2-1 HT 1-1 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
30.08.2022 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Orense Orense EKV1
16.04.2022 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
30.10.2021 Orense Orense 0-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orense
0-2
AWAY Tecnico Universitario
0.92 xG 2.28
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
295 Passes 194
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
14 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Orense vs Tecnico Universitario
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario beat Orense 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Orense at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Orense had 57% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 43%, shots finished 10-13, expected goals 0.92 to 2.28.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tecnico Universitario led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orense and 1.00 for Tecnico Universitario.

What was the final score of Orense vs Tecnico Universitario?

Orense 0-2 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orense vs Tecnico Universitario?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orense win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orense 41%, draw 29%, Tecnico Universitario 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Orense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
EKV1 More Ecuador - Premier
10 Nov 2024
18:30 El Nacional vs Libertad Analysis →
23:30 Barcelona SC vs Cumbaya Analysis →