Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-3 Naft Bandar Abbas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.36
Over 2.5
38%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
1.86
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
15%
7.6
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.6pp
62%
Under 2.5
70%
-8.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
30%
+8.2pp
36%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.2pp
64%
BTTS No
66%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Bandar Abbas EU Bookmakers 23%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
1.22/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.00
-7% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% /
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Bandar Abbas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Bandar Abbas beat Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mes Shahr-e Babak FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-3 Naft Bandar Abbas in the Iran - Azadegan League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Naft Bandar Abbas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 42%, draw 31%, Naft Bandar Abbas 27%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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