Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Shahre Raz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.51
No
57%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.85
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
15%
7.61
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
36%
+7.3pp
57%
BTTS No
64%
-7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahre Raz EU Bookmakers 29%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.87/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.74
-27% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -41%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Shahre Raz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
15.04.2024 Naft Gachsaran 0-1 HT 0-1 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz IRANAZ
02.11.2023 Shahre Raz Shahre Raz 0-0 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Shahre Raz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran and Shahre Raz shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Shahre Raz led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Naft Gachsaran and 0.50 for Shahre Raz.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Shahre Raz?

Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Shahre Raz in the Iran - Azadegan League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Shahre Raz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 39%, draw 32%, Shahre Raz 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naft Gachsaran), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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