Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-1 Ario Eslamshahr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
35%
2.83
Away
27%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.33
No
60%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
1.9
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
12%
7.28
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
35%
Draw
32%
+3.4pp
27%
Away Win
34%
-7.1pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
39%
+1.5pp
60%
BTTS No
61%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 38%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.69/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.02
+66% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -17%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Masjed Soleyman
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
21.02.2024 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 0-0 HT 0-0 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman IRANAZ
17.09.2023 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-2 HT 0-1 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Ario Eslamshahr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Masjed Soleyman and Ario Eslamshahr couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 27%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ario Eslamshahr led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Naft Masjed Soleyman and 1.00 for Ario Eslamshahr.

What was the final score of Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Naft Masjed Soleyman 1-1 Ario Eslamshahr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Masjed Soleyman win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Naft Masjed Soleyman 37%, draw 35%, Ario Eslamshahr 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naft Masjed Soleyman), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Masjed Soleyman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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