Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Vissel Kobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.08
Draw
23%
2.94
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
20%
5.85
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
5.32
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
4%
15.15
X/1
12%
6.25
X/2
16%
4.47
X/X
10%
3.52
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.33
2/X
9%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
29%
+4.9pp
23%
Draw
30%
-7.2pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.6pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tokyo Verdy EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Vissel Kobe EU Bookmakers 45%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +9%
1.27/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.12
+18% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
17.1 Crosses 20.9
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Vissel Kobe
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.21 xG 0.89
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 9
226 Passes 456
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 42
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 0-1 HT 0-0 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy JAP
13.07.2005 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 3-3 HT 3-1 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tokyo Verdy
1-1
AWAY Vissel Kobe
0.44 xG 0.31
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
474 Passes 239
82% Pass Accuracy 70%
19 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tokyo Verdy and Vissel Kobe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Vissel Kobe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Tokyo Verdy had 63% of the ball to Vissel Kobe's 37%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 0.44 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tokyo Verdy had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Tokyo Verdy and 1.50 for Vissel Kobe.

What was the final score of Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?

Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Vissel Kobe in the Japan - J1 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tokyo Verdy vs Vissel Kobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Vissel Kobe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tokyo Verdy 34%, draw 23%, Vissel Kobe 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Vissel Kobe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vissel Kobe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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