Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.05
1/2
5%
24.45
1/X
9%
15.9
X/1
11%
8.79
X/2
16%
3.9
X/X
12%
4.9
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.3
2/X
5%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.20/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.96
-26% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 82%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
16.0 Crosses 23.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.05 xG 1.46
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
328 Passes 334
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
23.02.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-0 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
13.08.2023 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2-1 HT 0-1 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
31.05.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-1 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
01.10.2022 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4-1 HT 1-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
13.05.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 0-0 HT 0-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
25.08.2021 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-0 HT 1-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Urawa Red Diamonds
3-0
AWAY Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1.42 xG 2.72
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 29
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 13
214 Passes 381
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 59
6 Crosses 46
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Urawa Red Diamonds ran out comfortable winners over Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Sanfrecce Hiroshima at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Urawa Red Diamonds had 37% of the ball to Sanfrecce Hiroshima's 63%, shots finished 12-29, expected goals 1.42 to 2.72 — on chances, Sanfrecce Hiroshima could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sanfrecce Hiroshima led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.50 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What was the final score of Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Urawa Red Diamonds 3-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the Japan - J1 League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Urawa Red Diamonds vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Urawa Red Diamonds 28%, draw 25%, Sanfrecce Hiroshima 47%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sanfrecce Hiroshima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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