Kecskemeti TE 0-1 Ferencvaros — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
6.35
Draw
26%
4.34
Away
54%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.06
No
49%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
24%
3.73
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.26
6+ Goals
10%
11.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.73 — our 24% vs market 21.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
38%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Ferencvaros win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
13%
+7.6pp
26%
Draw
20%
+6.4pp
53%
Away Win
68%
-14.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.3pp
49%
BTTS No
56%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kecskemeti TE EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferencvaros EU Bookmakers 72%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.09/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/0.87
+28% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -10%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 460 · 84%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.4
12.0 Crosses 19.8
4.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kecskemeti TE
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.53 xG 1.81
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
196 Passes 466
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
03.03.2024 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 2-0 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
05.11.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-1 HT 2-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
27.09.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-0 HT 0-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
13.05.2023 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE 2-0 HT 1-0 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros MAC
18.02.2023 Ferencvaros Ferencvaros 1-1 HT 1-0 Kecskemeti TE Kecskemeti TE MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kecskemeti TE
0-1
AWAY Ferencvaros
0.86 xG 1.81
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
187 Passes 562
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
29 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kecskemeti TE vs Ferencvaros
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferencvaros squeezed past Kecskemeti TE 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ferencvaros as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kecskemeti TE had 30% of the ball to Ferencvaros's 70%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.86 to 1.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ferencvaros led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kecskemeti TE and 1.00 for Ferencvaros.

What was the final score of Kecskemeti TE vs Ferencvaros?

Kecskemeti TE 0-1 Ferencvaros in the Hungary - NB I on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kecskemeti TE vs Ferencvaros?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ferencvaros win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Kecskemeti TE 20%, draw 26%, Ferencvaros 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ferencvaros) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ferencvaros) ✗ BTTS Yes
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