Diosgyor vs MOL Fehervar Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Diosgyor v MOL Fehervar — Team-Based Signals
Diosgyor vs MOL Fehervar Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 2-0
Diosgyor
MAC
0-4
HT 0-1
MOL Fehervar
MAC
Diosgyor 1-0 MOL Fehervar — Actual Match Statistics
Diosgyor squeezed past MOL Fehervar 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Diosgyor as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Diosgyor had 45% of the ball to MOL Fehervar's 55%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.66 to 0.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Diosgyor and 2.17 for MOL Fehervar.
What was the final score of Diosgyor vs MOL Fehervar?
Diosgyor 1-0 MOL Fehervar in the Hungary - NB I on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Diosgyor vs MOL Fehervar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Diosgyor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Diosgyor 41%, draw 26%, MOL Fehervar 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Diosgyor), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.