MOL Fehervar 2-1 Diosgyor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - Cup, 30 Oct 2024

📅30/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.8pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MOL Fehervar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Diosgyor EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
0.54/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/0.20
-62% / +62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MOL Fehervar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Diosgyor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.15 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
29 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 3-1 HT 1-1 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
18.05.2024 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 0-0 HT 0-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
24.02.2024 Diosgyor Diosgyor 4-0 HT 1-0 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
28.10.2023 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 4-0 HT 2-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
09.05.2021 Diosgyor Diosgyor 0-4 HT 0-1 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar MAC
20.02.2021 MOL Fehervar MOL Fehervar 1-3 HT 1-0 Diosgyor Diosgyor MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MOL Fehervar
2-1
AWAY Diosgyor
49% Ball Possession 51%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MOL Fehervar edged past Diosgyor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; MOL Fehervar found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, MOL Fehervar had 49% of the ball to Diosgyor's 51%, shots finished 6-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MOL Fehervar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for MOL Fehervar and 1.33 for Diosgyor.

What was the final score of MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor?

MOL Fehervar 2-1 Diosgyor in the Hungary - Cup on 30/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MOL Fehervar vs Diosgyor?

Before kick-off our model rated a MOL Fehervar win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split MOL Fehervar 36%, draw 30%, Diosgyor 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MOL Fehervar) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MOL Fehervar)
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