Tyumen 1-4 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.6
Over 2.5
45%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 43%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.10/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/2.68
+1% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
210 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Chernomorets
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Chernomorets Chernomorets 2-1 HT 1-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
24.04.2024 Tyumen Tyumen 1-1 HT 1-1 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
22.10.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 0-1 HT 0-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
1-4
AWAY Chernomorets
63% Ball Possession 37%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets cruised past Tyumen 4-1 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Chernomorets found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tyumen had 63% of the ball to Chernomorets's 37%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tyumen and 1.00 for Chernomorets.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs Chernomorets?

Tyumen 1-4 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 35%, draw 26%, Chernomorets 39%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chernomorets) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
10 Nov 2024
08:00 SKA Khabarovsk vs FK Ufa Analysis →
15:00 Shinnik vs Ural Analysis →
19:30 FK Rodina Moskva vs Chayka Analysis →