ES Metlaoui 1-1 Ben Guerdane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
37%
2.83
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.51
No
67%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.86
2-3 Goals
34%
1.92
4-5 Goals
13%
7.8
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
27%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.9pp
37%
Draw
32%
+4.9pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.0pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.7pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.7pp
33%
BTTS Yes
36%
-3.0pp
67%
BTTS No
64%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ES Metlaoui EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ben Guerdane EU Bookmakers 26%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.21/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.55/0.70
+3% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +63%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ES Metlaoui
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ben Guerdane
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.05.2024 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 3-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN
03.03.2024 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 3-1 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN
22.01.2023 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 2-1 HT 1-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
26.10.2022 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 2-0 HT 1-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1B
27.02.2021 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane 0-0 HT 0-0 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui TUN1
06.12.2020 ES Metlaoui ES Metlaoui 0-0 HT 0-0 Ben Guerdane Ben Guerdane TUN1
POST-MATCH ES Metlaoui vs Ben Guerdane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ES Metlaoui and Ben Guerdane shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match split (38% / 37% / 26%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (71%) landed while no to both teams scoring (67%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for ES Metlaoui and 1.17 for Ben Guerdane.

What was the final score of ES Metlaoui vs Ben Guerdane?

ES Metlaoui 1-1 Ben Guerdane in the Tunisia - 1st Division on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ES Metlaoui vs Ben Guerdane?

Before kick-off our model rated a ES Metlaoui win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split ES Metlaoui 38%, draw 37%, Ben Guerdane 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (ES Metlaoui), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ES Metlaoui) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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