Dynamo Kiev 2-1 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
32%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.86
Over 2.5
55%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-12.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+14.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dynamo Kiev EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.01/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.73
+13% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +90%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dynamo Kiev
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Polessya
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.04.2024 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev 3-0 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
06.10.2023 Polessya Polessya 3-2 HT 1-1 Dynamo Kiev Dynamo Kiev UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dynamo Kiev
2-1
AWAY Polessya
8 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dynamo Kiev vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dynamo Kiev squeezed past Polessya 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dynamo Kiev as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Dynamo Kiev and 1.50 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Dynamo Kiev vs Polessya?

Dynamo Kiev 2-1 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dynamo Kiev vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dynamo Kiev win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dynamo Kiev 46%, draw 22%, Polessya 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dynamo Kiev), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dynamo Kiev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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