Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.96
No
50%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
72%
-14.8pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.9pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+9.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +18%
2.43/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/2.10
+23% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
381 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKRK
22.04.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
18.04.2024 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
24.05.2023 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-3 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
13.11.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 HT 1-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
15.10.2021 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 6-1 HT 3-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
3-1
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
11 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk got the better of Zorya Luhansk 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 11-1.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.83 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

Shakhtar Donetsk 3-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 57%, draw 23%, Zorya Luhansk 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5
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