Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Union Omaha v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals
Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Union Omaha
USL1
1-1
HT 1-1
Union Omaha
USL1
3-3
HT 1-1
Greenville Triumph
USL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
Union Omaha 2-1 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics
Union Omaha edged past Greenville Triumph 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Union Omaha had 44% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 56%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.12 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Union Omaha's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Omaha had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Union Omaha and 1.17 for Greenville Triumph.
What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
Union Omaha 2-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Greenville Triumph?
Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 51%, draw 24%, Greenville Triumph 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.