Wealdstone 3-3 Altrincham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.7
No
60%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.13
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
3.39
6+ Goals
7%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 33% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.83
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
15%
5.66
X/2
13%
5.53
X/X
14%
4.62
2/1
5%
29.5
2/2
16%
3.7
2/X
4%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.7pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
55%
-14.8pp
60%
BTTS No
45%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Altrincham EU Bookmakers 40%
+10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.51/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.56
+10% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
97 · 94% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 86 · 90%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wealdstone
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Altrincham
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2024 Altrincham Altrincham 4-1 HT 1-1 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
16.09.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-0 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
04.03.2023 Wealdstone Wealdstone 4-0 HT 2-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
01.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 0-1 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
23.04.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 4-2 HT 1-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
11.09.2021 Wealdstone Wealdstone 1-0 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wealdstone
3-3
AWAY Altrincham
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wealdstone vs Altrincham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wealdstone and Altrincham shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wealdstone had 51% of the ball to Altrincham's 49%, shots finished 13-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wealdstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wealdstone and 1.33 for Altrincham.

What was the final score of Wealdstone vs Altrincham?

Wealdstone 3-3 Altrincham in the England - National League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wealdstone vs Altrincham?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Wealdstone 35%, draw 28%, Altrincham 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Altrincham) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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