AFC Fylde 2-0 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Dec 2024

AFC Fylde
2-0 HT 0-0
Ebbsfleet United
📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

AFC Fylde vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.3
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.3 — our 26% vs market 17.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.98
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.55
X/1
16%
3.99
X/2
7%
11.1
X/X
8%
6.25
2/1
10%
21.0
2/2
13%
8.02
2/X
11%
16.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
60%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

AFC Fylde v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 21%
-13% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -12%
1.82/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/2.12
-5% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -27%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
93 · 95% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 83 · 94%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

AFC Fylde vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Fylde
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 1-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
21.10.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-1 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
10.08.2019 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
22.12.2018 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-0 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
01.09.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-3 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İBSL
23.12.2017 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

AFC Fylde 2-0 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Fylde
2-0
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
65% Ball Possession 35%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH AFC Fylde vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Fylde beat Ebbsfleet United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had AFC Fylde as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AFC Fylde had 65% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 35%, shots finished 15-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for AFC Fylde and 0.83 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of AFC Fylde vs Ebbsfleet United?

AFC Fylde 2-0 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Fylde vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split AFC Fylde 48%, draw 26%, Ebbsfleet United 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Fylde), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Under 2.5
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