Chesham United 2-3 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.7pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 33%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+21% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
251 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesham United
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Salisbury
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.09.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 1-2 HT 1-2 Chesham United Chesham United İCON
09.03.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 3-1 HT 1-0 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
15.04.2023 Chesham United Chesham United 3-1 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Salisbury Salisbury 1-2 HT 1-1 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
12.02.2022 Chesham United Chesham United 4-0 HT 0-0 Salisbury Salisbury İNGNLP
19.10.2021 Salisbury Salisbury 1-2 HT 0-0 Chesham United Chesham United İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salisbury edged past Chesham United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Salisbury made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chesham United had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Chesham United and 1.17 for Salisbury.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Salisbury?

Chesham United 2-3 Salisbury in the England - FA Cup on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesham United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 40%, draw 26%, Salisbury 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesham United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesham United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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