Guiseley 1-1 Leek Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.5pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Leek Town EU Bookmakers 21%
-14% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.83/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.35
-12% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
522 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guiseley
1-1
AWAY Leek Town
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Leek Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guiseley and Leek Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Guiseley at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Guiseley had 55% of the ball to Leek Town's 45%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Leek Town?

Guiseley 1-1 Leek Town in the England - Non League Premier on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Leek Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guiseley win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 54%, draw 23%, Leek Town 23%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guiseley) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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