Taunton Town 2-3 Merthyr Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.43
Over 2.5
60%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
38%
+2.5pp
60%
Over 2.5
62%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Taunton Town EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Merthyr Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
2.11/2.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.56
+41% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Taunton Town
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Merthyr Town
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2023 Taunton Town Taunton Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town FAK
15.09.2023 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 1-1 Taunton Town Taunton Town FAK
08.03.2022 Taunton Town Taunton Town 2-1 HT 1-1 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town İNGNLP
05.02.2022 Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Taunton Town Taunton Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Taunton Town vs Merthyr Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Merthyr Town nicked a narrow win over Taunton Town 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Merthyr Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Taunton Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Taunton Town and 1.00 for Merthyr Town.

What was the final score of Taunton Town vs Merthyr Town?

Taunton Town 2-3 Merthyr Town in the England - Non League Premier on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Taunton Town vs Merthyr Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Taunton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Taunton Town 39%, draw 29%, Merthyr Town 32%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Taunton Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Taunton Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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