Mickleover Sports 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+5.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-6.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 56%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
1.47/2.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.49
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / -25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mickleover Sports
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 HT 1-0 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
17.08.2021 Mickleover Sports 2-0 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mickleover Sports
1-2
AWAY Gainsborough Trinity
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Mickleover Sports vs Gainsborough Trinity
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gainsborough Trinity squeezed past Mickleover Sports 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gainsborough Trinity as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mickleover Sports had 43% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 57%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mickleover Sports and 1.00 for Gainsborough Trinity.

What was the final score of Mickleover Sports vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Mickleover Sports 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mickleover Sports vs Gainsborough Trinity?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mickleover Sports 30%, draw 24%, Gainsborough Trinity 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✓ BTTS Yes
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