Brest U19 1-3 PSV U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
49%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
2.94
6+ Goals
9%
9.28
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.83 — our 25% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
24%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
49%
Away Win
52%
-2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.9pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brest U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY PSV U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -72% / -72%
1.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
-25% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -35%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
303 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brest U19
1-3
AWAY PSV U19
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Brest U19 vs PSV U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV U19 beat Brest U19 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had PSV U19 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Brest U19 had 40% of the ball to PSV U19's 60%, shots finished 10-9.

What was the final score of Brest U19 vs PSV U19?

Brest U19 1-3 PSV U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brest U19 vs PSV U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSV U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Brest U19 25%, draw 26%, PSV U19 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV U19) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (PSV U19)
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