Salzburg U19 3-2 Paris SG U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.94
Over 2.5
60%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.25
No
42%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
9.46
2-3 Goals
39%
2.45
4-5 Goals
28%
2.23
6+ Goals
15%
3.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.3pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-6.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
76%
-17.5pp
42%
BTTS No
24%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris SG U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
3.01/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.86
+143% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +62%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
424 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 83%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
13.3 Crosses 6.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Paris SG U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.25
28% Ball Possession 72%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
160 Passes 525
68% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 1
16.03.2022 Paris SG U19 Paris SG U19 1-3 HT 1-1 Salzburg U19 Salzburg U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg U19
3-2
AWAY Paris SG U19
1.60 xG 1.29
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
256 Passes 403
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg U19 vs Paris SG U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg U19 squeezed past Paris SG U19 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salzburg U19 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Salzburg U19 had 42% of the ball to Paris SG U19's 58%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.60 to 1.29.

What was the final score of Salzburg U19 vs Paris SG U19?

Salzburg U19 3-2 Paris SG U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg U19 vs Paris SG U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Salzburg U19 45%, draw 28%, Paris SG U19 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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