Girona U19 2-2 Liverpool U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 10 Dec 2024

📅10/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.5
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.06
6+ Goals
7%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 31% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
45%
Away Win
51%
-6.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Girona U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
+59% / +59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+52% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
Crosses 22.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Girona U19
2-2
AWAY Liverpool U19
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Girona U19 vs Liverpool U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Girona U19 and Liverpool U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool U19 at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Girona U19 had 56% of the ball to Liverpool U19's 44%, shots finished 19-5.

What was the final score of Girona U19 vs Liverpool U19?

Girona U19 2-2 Liverpool U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 10/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Girona U19 vs Liverpool U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Girona U19 32%, draw 23%, Liverpool U19 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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