Marbella 0-1 Atletico Madrid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 10 Dec 2025

📅10/12/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.29
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.48
Over 2.5
44%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
2.16
No
45%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
27%
+6.3pp
30%
Draw
30%
-0.7pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.7pp
45%
BTTS No
58%
-12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid II EU Bookmakers 46%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.44/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/0.97
+44% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
210 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 417 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Atletico Madrid II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.04.2025 Marbella Marbella 2-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II İS3
01.12.2024 Atletico Madrid II Atletico Madrid II 3-2 HT 2-1 Marbella Marbella İS3
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Atletico Madrid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid II edged past Marbella 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Atletico Madrid II found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Marbella and 1.50 for Atletico Madrid II.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Atletico Madrid II?

Marbella 0-1 Atletico Madrid II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Atletico Madrid II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Madrid II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marbella 33%, draw 30%, Atletico Madrid II 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid II), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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