Athletic Bilbao U19 1-1 Paris SG U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 10 Dec 2025

📅10/12/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.89
Over 2.5
57%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.4
2-3 Goals
39%
2.12
4-5 Goals
26%
2.42
6+ Goals
13%
4.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
31%
+12.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
69%
-12.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.8pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris SG U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.32/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.67
+72% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
376 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 79%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
13.0 Crosses 4.5
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao U19
1-1
AWAY Paris SG U19
3.91 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
24 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 431
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao U19 vs Paris SG U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao U19 and Paris SG U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao U19 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao U19 had 46% of the ball to Paris SG U19's 54%, shots finished 24-9, expected goals 3.91 to 1.36.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao U19 vs Paris SG U19?

Athletic Bilbao U19 1-1 Paris SG U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao U19 vs Paris SG U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao U19 43%, draw 22%, Paris SG U19 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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