Benfica U19 3-0 Napoli U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 10 Dec 2025

📅10/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
85%
1.18
Draw
10%
7.13
Away
5%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.94
Over 2.5
73%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.75
No
44%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
9.9
2-3 Goals
30%
2.57
4-5 Goals
39%
2.26
6+ Goals
16%
3.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
2%
1/X
2%
X/1
30%
X/2
1%
X/X
4%
2/1
9%
2/2
2%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
85%
Home Win
80%
+5.0pp
9%
Draw
11%
-1.7pp
5%
Away Win
8%
-3.2pp
27%
Under 2.5
22%
+5.0pp
73%
Over 2.5
78%
-5.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Benfica U19 EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli U19 EU Bookmakers 11%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.21/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.30/2.27
+33% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -74% / -11%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
419 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 7.0
22.5 Crosses 2.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Benfica U19
3-0
AWAY Napoli U19
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Benfica U19 vs Napoli U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Benfica U19 swept aside Napoli U19 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Benfica U19 as the likeliest winner at 85%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (73%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, Benfica U19 had 56% of the ball to Napoli U19's 44%, shots finished 17-6.

What was the final score of Benfica U19 vs Napoli U19?

Benfica U19 3-0 Napoli U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Benfica U19 vs Napoli U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 85%, with the full match-result split Benfica U19 85%, draw 9%, Napoli U19 5%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Benfica U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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