Midtjylland U19 1-4 Köln U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 10 Dec 2025

📅10/12/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
18%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.23
Over 2.5
67%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
51%
+8.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
18%
Away Win
25%
-7.3pp
33%
Under 2.5
41%
-8.1pp
67%
Over 2.5
59%
+8.1pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.0pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Köln U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-46% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
51.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Köln U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.11.2025 Köln U19 Köln U19 1-1 HT 0-1 Midtjylland U19 Midtjylland U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Midtjylland U19
1-4
AWAY Köln U19
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Midtjylland U19 vs Köln U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln U19 swept aside Midtjylland U19 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Midtjylland U19 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Midtjylland U19 had 56% of the ball to Köln U19's 44%, shots finished 15-10.

What was the final score of Midtjylland U19 vs Köln U19?

Midtjylland U19 1-4 Köln U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 10/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland U19 vs Köln U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Midtjylland U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland U19 59%, draw 23%, Köln U19 18%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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