Genk vs Paderborn Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Genk v Paderborn — Team-Based Signals
Genk 1-2 Paderborn — Actual Match Statistics
Paderborn nicked a narrow win over Genk 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Genk at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) came in.
On the day, Genk had 35% of the ball to Paderborn's 65%, shots finished 3-6.
What was the final score of Genk vs Paderborn?
Genk 1-2 Paderborn in the Friendlies on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Genk vs Paderborn?
Before kick-off our model rated a Genk win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Genk 48%, draw 24%, Paderborn 27%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Genk) went the other way.