Hamburg 2-2 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Jan 2024

📅11/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.74
Over
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.82
2-3
40%
2.03
4-5
24%
2.55
6+
14%
5.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.05
1/2
6%
24.7
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
17%
5.56
X/2
8%
6.33
X/X
12%
6.09
2/1
9%
22.15
2/2
19%
3.64
2/X
7%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.15 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+8.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-8.7pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.5pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamburg The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich The Market 38%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.21/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.34
-20% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamburg
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Zürich
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
21.02.2008 Hamburg Hamburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich AVL
14.02.2008 Zürich Zürich 1-3 HT 0-0 Hamburg Hamburg AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hamburg
2-2
AWAY Zürich
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Hamburg vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamburg and Zürich couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Hamburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Hamburg had 64% of the ball to Zürich's 36%, shots finished 15-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Hamburg had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hamburg and 0.50 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Hamburg vs Zürich?

Hamburg 2-2 Zürich in the Friendlies on 11/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamburg vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hamburg 42%, draw 25%, Zürich 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hamburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hamburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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